Accuracy of every pick the model gave β₯66% odds, all prediction types combined: game winners (win probability β₯66%) and player props (hit rate β₯66% over / β€34% under, backtested). O/U and spread picks carry no odds and never qualify. Last 90 days.
Backtest of the player-prop model: each pick is rebuilt from the form the model would have seen before the game, and only actionable calls (β₯60% over / β€40% under) are scored against the actual stat line.
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Model (v2): number weights tilt toward recent frequencies only in proportion to chi-square evidence of equipment bias (a fair machine β near-uniform), and tickets are scored against player-behavior patterns (birthdays, sequences, round numbers) β unpopular combinations win the same but split jackpots with fewer people.
Data refreshes automatically every night at 3 AM UTC.
Highest-confidence game picks (next 7 days) and strongest player-prop edges (next 3 days). Only genuine edges are shown β a short list is honest, not a bug.
Pick a leg count and hit Generate.
Archived pre-2.0 predictions, kept for reference only. These are no longer generated or counted toward current accuracy.
| Sport | Date | Matchup | Pick | Home Win% | Pred Score | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|